From a tactical perspective, Greece hold the edge here, though an Italy win cannot be ruled out. Greece have built a reputation for compact, well-organized defending, which has helped them frustrate stronger opposition, limit chances, and grind out results. They are also preparing for the upcoming Nations League campaign, so they will be highly motivated to secure a win, build momentum, and test their system. Italy, meanwhile, are coming off a long club season and are expected to rotate their squad, with key stars likely to be rested. Even so, Italy’s depth means they still have plenty of quality, and they could capitalize on any defensive lapses. That makes the home selection a strong but not certain play.