Forma (30)
[Picks]Swedish Allsvenskan Watch: Who Will Break Through First in a Battle of the Strugglers?
433d ago
Handicap05/23 21:00Allsvenskan Sueca
DerrotaHalmstad
FT--
Örgryte
Casa-0,5 (-)
Fora+0,5 (-)
In Round 9 of the Swedish Allsvenskan, the bottom team in the table faces the second-bottom side. So far, both teams have managed just one win this season (the home side have none), while in attack one is averaging 0.63 goals per game and the other 1 goal per game. Defensively, one is conceding 1.88 goals per game and the other 2.63. This is not a contest about technical quality, but rather a survival battle over who is slightly less poor.
The Asian handicap opened with the home side at level ball/scratch, and the home price has consistently stayed low at 0.77-0.86. Given the home advantage and the fact that the visitors have lost three of their four away matches, a level ball to half-ball line is reasonably shallow. However, the key signal comes from the European odds — the draw price has generally been compressed to a low range of 3.30-3.40, while the away-win odds have edged down slightly from 3.40-3.60 to 3.20-3.40. Bookmakers are increasing their caution over the away side taking points.
In the last 10 meetings between the two teams, Halmstads BK have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5, so home advantage has not been particularly clear. Both sides are desperately trying to escape the relegation zone, but the pressure is greater on the home team at the foot of the table, which could make them even more tense mentally. Örgryte’s away form has been poor, but against an equally out-of-form opponent, taking points is by no means out of reach.
Overall, with the Asian line at level ball/half-ball and the draw odds kept low, the more reasonable choice is the away side to avoid defeat.
Asian handicap recommendation: Örgryte +0/0.5.
