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Zoe M. Pfeiffer

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[Picks]World Cup Group Stage: Austria vs Jordan

58818d ago

1X206/17 04:00Copa Mundial de la FIFA

Victoria

Austria

Austria
FT--
Jordania

Jordania

Local-
Empate-
Visitante-
In the opening round of the World Cup group stage, Austria and Jordan meet in San Francisco. From both team strength and recent form, Austria have every condition needed to secure a comfortable opening win. Austria have been in outstanding recent form, winning 8, drawing 1 and losing 1 of their last 10 official matches, scoring 27 goals and conceding just 4. They have shown the dominance of a second-tier European powerhouse at both ends of the pitch. Although most of their opponents have been mid- to lower-level European sides, Austria have also recorded steady wins over stronger teams such as Bosnia and Romania in qualifying, making their results highly credible. Even more notably, Austria have kept 8 clean sheets in their last 10 matches, highlighting the solidity of their defensive structure. Core players such as Sabitzer, Laimer and Alaba are all in the prime of their careers, giving the team a mature framework and plenty of experience. Jordan’s recent results have not been poor overall, with 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 10 matches, but the quality of opposition has clearly been limited. Their wins have come against teams such as Kuwait, Egypt and Iraq, all mid- to lower-level Asian sides, while they have struggled badly against European opponents. In a May friendly, they were beaten 4-1 away by Switzerland and 2-0 by Colombia. Against European-level attacking firepower, Jordan’s back line has looked vulnerable. More importantly, they have conceded 14 goals in their last 10 matches, averaging nearly 1.5 goals against per game. Against an Austria side with a well-developed attacking system and multiple scoring threats, it will be very difficult to hold out for 90 minutes. In the handicap market, bookmakers initially opened with a mixed line of one and a half goals and one/one and a half goals, but by the closing stage most had dropped to one/one and a half goals. Austria’s odds fell from the 0.87-0.98 range to a low 0.82-0.87, while Jordan’s odds rose to the 1.02-1.07 range. A line drop accompanied by a lower price on the home side is a sign that bookmakers are deliberately reducing payout risk, rather than genuinely rating Austria less favorably. Austria have won their last six matches against a one-and-a-half-goal handicap at a 66.7% rate, and their ability to cover a deep line has already been proven. Overall, Austria are in red-hot form, defensively solid, and close to full strength, while Jordan have clear defensive weaknesses against European opposition. Austria are expected to take their first win comfortably, with a likely scoreline of 2-0 or 3-0.
Este análisis es solo para referencia. Apuesta responsablemente.