Steady handicap route
Recommended pick: Senegal (-1)
Exclusive logic: Senegal are clearly a notch above Saudi Arabia in squad depth and the individual quality of their key players. In a friendly, African sides can easily use their physical edge to overpower Saudi Arabia’s relatively fragile back line. Senegal -1 is a classic hard-strength handicap; at the very least, Senegal should secure a narrow win in this match (a safe bet, and at worst a push), while the upside points to a 2-goal victory that can cover the line. This is a high-probability, low-risk option.