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[Picks]Swedish Division 1 Confidence Match Over/Under Analysis
2036d ago
Más/Menos05/30 15:00Superettan sueca
VictoriaÖsters IF
FT--
Norrby IF
Más-
Line2,5/3
Menos-
First, let’s look at Norrby’s extremely strong draw tendency and over-goal trend. This season, Norrby have produced 7 draws in 9 matches, earning them the reputation of being the “draw experts” in Sweden’s Division 1, and most of those draws have featured plenty of goals. In their last 6 matches, 5 have gone over, with an over rate as high as 83.3%, showing an open tempo and no shortage of goals. Away from home, Norrby have drawn all 5 of their away matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per game, with contributions at both ends of the pitch.
Next is Öster’s home attacking stability. Although Öster’s overall results have been mediocre, they have scored 3 goals in 4 home matches and conceded 4, with under results appearing more often at home. However, against a Norrby side whose away defense is far from solid, Öster scoring at home is highly likely. While the last 6 meetings between the two teams have mostly gone under, Norrby’s recent over trend has been extremely obvious.
In the odds market, mainstream bookmakers have set the total goals line at 2.5/3, with over prices generally staying in the relatively low range of 0.77 to 0.92. This clearly shows that the market is wary of the over landing. Combined with Norrby’s very high recent over rate and their ability to contribute at both ends in away matches, this game looks likely to produce at least 3 total goals.
